Aalesund host Molde in Eliteserien round 13 carrying a mixed five-game run: wins over Brann and Kristiansund, but draws at Tromso and home to HamKam. Molde arrive after two friendly defeats against Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg, yet their last competitive results - wins over Sandefjord and at Sarpsborg - show a side that delivers when it counts. Five injured Molde players are a concern, but Aalesund also miss two.
H2H tells the clearest story. In three Eliteserien meetings, Molde won all three, scoring 3-0, 3-1 and 3-1. The model gives Molde a 42% win probability against Aalesund's 33%, with DNB-away probability at 67%. Odds of 2.10 imply 48% - a gap worth exploiting.
Molde away DNB at 1.57 is the play. You get Molde to win or your stake back on a draw - a fair safety net given their H2H record. Confidence is modest given the injury list and friendly-form dip.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 27.02.26 | Club Friendlies | 4–1 | O2.5 |
| 16.05.23 | Eliteserien | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 03.05.23 | Eliteserien | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 25.03.23 | Club Friendlies | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 18.09.22 | Eliteserien | 3–0 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service