Celje host Egnatia in the second leg of this Champions League qualifier with the aggregate level at 3-3 after a wild first meeting. The Slovenians have not lost in their last five matches (1W, 4D) and have scored in all five. Egnatia carry better recent form overall (3W, 2D, 0L in five) but their away record is more mixed and they conceded in four of those five outings.
The numbers point firmly to goals. Both sides scored in all five of Celje's recent games and in four of Egnatia's five. Over 2.5 is priced at 1.62-1.65. Celje's home price of 1.40 reflects the tie context: they need to win to advance or force extra time, giving them a structural incentive the visitors lack.
Celje at 1.40 is the play. They have home advantage, a clear qualification motive, and the odds are inside our threshold. Take the 1X2 home win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.07.26 | UEFA Champions League | 3–3 | O2.5 |
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