Stade Saputo hosts a clash between a Montreal side that has leaked goals in 4 of its last 5 games and an Inter Miami attack that has scored in all 5 of its recent outings. Montreal arrives here on the back of a 0-1 loss at Nashville, while Miami put three past Chicago just three days ago.
The numbers are loud. Miami's last 5 games produced 4 over-2.5 results and 17 goals scored. Montreal's last 5 produced 3 over-2.5 results and 15 goals combined. The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 83%, well ahead of the implied 71% in the 1.40 price.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 is the call. Both defences concede freely and both attacks have goals in them. The model's edge is clear enough to commit.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 06.07.25 | MLS | 1–4 | O2.5 |
| 29.05.25 | MLS | 4–2 | O2.5 |
| 12.05.24 | MLS | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 10.03.24 | MLS | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 28.05.23 | MLS | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service