Lower.com Field has been a fortress of sorts for Columbus this season - two clean sheets in their last five, and they already beat NYC 1-0 here in the US Open Cup in May. NYC arrive with four players in the treatment room and a road record that reads two wins, one draw, two losses across their last five outings.
The h2h across five meetings is tight: Columbus 2W-1D-2L, with three of those games going over 2.5 goals. But the home side's DNB price at 1.45 reflects real market respect, and the model puts Columbus at 39% win / 26% draw - a 65% 1X probability that backs the safety net. NYC have scored in only 4 of their last 5 games and carry a depleted squad.
With injuries biting NYC and Columbus unbeaten at home in competitive play this year, the DNB at 1.45 is the disciplined play. You're covered if the Crew grind a draw, and backed if they win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.05.26 | US Open Cup | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 10.05.26 | MLS | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 18.09.25 | MLS | 3–2 | O2.5 |
| 24.03.25 | MLS | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 01.09.24 | MLS | 4–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service