Degerfors arrive at round 14 on a three-match losing run in Allsvenskan, shipping eleven goals across their last five outings and failing to keep a single clean sheet in that span. Djurgarden, by contrast, have lost only once in five and carry a positive goal difference of plus four over the same sample. The class gap is real and the market reflects it.
The head-to-head record underlines the story: Degerfors have not beaten Djurgarden in any of the last five meetings, conceding fifteen goals against four scored. The model puts Djurgarden's win probability at 65 percent, implying a fair price around 1.54. At 1.67-1.75 in the market, there is a modest but genuine edge on the away side.
Djurgarden away at 1.67 is the main play. The h2h dominance and the gap in recent defensive solidity both point the same direction. Confidence is measured: form and h2h align, but Djurgarden drew their last away fixture 0-0, so the margin of victory is not guaranteed.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.03.26 | Club Friendlies | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 04.10.25 | Allsvenskan | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 06.07.25 | Allsvenskan | 5–1 | O2.5 |
| 10.03.24 | Svenska Cupen | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 27.08.23 | Allsvenskan | 4–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service