Dukagjini host this second leg already trailing 0-1 from the first meeting in Lugano. The Kosovo side has won just two of their last five across all competitions and failed to score in three of those outings. Lugano arrive with four wins from their last five, keeping three clean sheets in that run, and two injured players (Marques, Cassano) are unlikely to shift the balance significantly at this level.
Lugano have scored in all five of their last five matches and conceded in only two of five. Dukagjini, by contrast, scored in just three of their last five and conceded in four. The Swiss side needs only to avoid a two-goal defeat to progress; that defensive cushion makes them a controlled proposition.
Lugano at 1.62 (1X2 AWAY) is the play. The tie is effectively in their hands and the form numbers support the price. Under 2.5 goals at 1.90-1.95 is the alternative: both sides have shown they can keep things tight, and Lugano have little reason to open up.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 23.07.26 | UEFA Conference League | 1–0 | U2.5 |
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