Round 21 at the Maracana, and Fluminense arrive unbeaten in their last five across all competitions. Bahia have drawn two of their last three Serie A outings and head north with two absentees in Vieira Leo and Marco Moreno.
The head-to-head numbers are the story here. Fluminense have won 4 and drawn 1 from their last five meetings, conceding just 1 goal across those five games while keeping 4 clean sheets. The model gives Flu a 49% home-win probability and 73% to win or draw. DNB at 1.30 reflects that edge without the draw risk.
Back Fluminense DNB at 1.30. The h2h pattern is unusually consistent, Bahia's attack has scored in only 4 of their last 5, and the visitors carry injury concerns in key positions. Lay the insurance, take the price.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 12.07.26 | Club Friendlies | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 05.02.26 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 07.12.25 | Serie A | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 11.09.25 | Copa do Brasil | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 11.09.25 | Copa do Brasil | 2–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service