A Swedish Allsvenskan side hosting a Gibraltar Premier Division club in the UCL qualifiers - the class gap is as wide as they come. Mjallby arrive winless in five but have been leaking and scoring freely, while Lincoln Red Imps just edged past Inter Escaldes to reach this round.
Mjallby have scored in 4 of their last 5 and conceded in 4 of 5, putting up 11 goals in that spell. Lincoln have also scored in every one of their last 5, but their level of opposition - Gibraltar's domestic scene - is a different universe. Mjallby's only absentee is Elliot Stroud. The over 2.5 line sits at 1.50-1.53, reflecting both sides' attacking openness.
Give me Over 2.5 Goals at 1.53. Both squads have goals in them, the class gap should produce a comfortable Mjallby win with plenty of action, and the price still carries a sliver of value on a night where the goals should flow.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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