Mjallby arrive at round 13 without a win in their last five, drawing four times and shipping 14 goals in that stretch. Vasteras SK show more bite - two wins in their last four competitive outings - but their backline is equally porous, conceding in all five recent matches. Two depleted squads, two leaky defences.
The numbers here are hard to ignore. Mjallby have seen both teams score in all 5 of their last five matches; Vasteras SK match that figure exactly. Neither side has kept a single clean sheet across those five games. The model puts a 67% probability on BTTS, and the market is offering 1.57-1.62 - a price that sits above the implied 60% breakeven.
At 1.62 (bet365), BTTS YES is the play. The structural evidence is overwhelming: zero clean sheets, goals in every game for both teams. Confidence is measured - form samples include friendlies - but the pattern is consistent enough to back.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 05.10.24 | Allsvenskan | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 25.04.24 | Allsvenskan | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 25.02.24 | Svenska Cupen | 2–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service