Molde host Brann in Eliteserien Round 14 carrying five injuries but also a dominant recent record against this opponent. Brann arrive in worse shape - four defeats in their last five outings, six goals scored against ten conceded - and with six players unavailable. Neither side has kept a clean sheet across their last five matches, yet the head-to-head picture is one-sided enough to override general form.
Molde have won all five of their last meetings with Brann, conceding just 2 goals across those five games. The model puts Molde's win probability at 62%, implying fair value around 1.61. Draw No Bet is available at 1.57-1.58, which prices in the draw risk and still sits close to that implied edge.
At 1.57, Molde DNB is the play. The h2h dominance is too consistent to ignore, and Brann's depleted travelling squad reinforces the case. Over 2.5 goals at 1.55-1.57 serves as the live alternative given both sides have gone over in all five recent matches.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.11.25 | Eliteserien | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 29.05.25 | Eliteserien | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 23.11.24 | Eliteserien | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 26.05.24 | Eliteserien | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 19.03.24 | Club Friendlies | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service