Red Bull Arena hosts two sides that simply cannot stop leaking goals. New York arrive on the back of a 1-3 loss at Philadelphia, a team that has conceded in all 5 of their last 5 matches and kept zero clean sheets in that run. Charlotte, meanwhile, drew 2-2 at home to Atlanta just days ago and have allowed goals in 4 of their last 5.
The numbers tell the same story everywhere you look. Red Bulls have gone over 2.5 in 4 of their last 5, with BTTS landing in all 5. Charlotte hit over 2.5 in 3 of 5 recent games. The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 71%, and both teams scoring at 70%. Four Red Bulls are in the injury room, adding defensive uncertainty to an already leaky unit.
At 1.50 (bet365), Over 2.5 goals is the clearest play on the board. Two attacking sides, no clean sheets from the hosts, and a model firmly backing goals. Take it.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.03.26 | MLS | 6–1 | O2.5 |
| 25.08.25 | MLS | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 29.05.25 | MLS | 4–2 | O2.5 |
| 25.08.24 | MLS | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 30.05.24 | MLS | 3–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service