Norway arrive at this World Cup quarter-final on the back of four wins from five tournament outings, their only blemish a 1-4 group-stage defeat to France. Crucially, they came from behind to beat Brazil 2-1 in the last round - a result that underlines their resilience and cutting edge. England, meanwhile, have won three and drawn one of their five matches, with a 4-2 group win over Croatia and a nervy 3-2 round-of-16 victory over Mexico showing both firepower and defensive fragility.
Norway have scored in every game and conceded in four of five, while England shipped a goal in four of their five outings too. Three of Norway's last four games produced three or more goals. England are without Reece James, Livramento and Quansah at the back; Norway miss only Ryerson. The defensive absences tilt the balance toward an open, high-scoring affair.
Norway beat Brazil without the ball for long stretches - they can absorb pressure and hit on the break. At a quarter-final stage where England's injury-hit defence has leaked, Norway to win on the Draw No Bet market represents the standout value play. Confidence is measured given the knockout context.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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