Rosenborg come into Round 13 of Eliteserien with a mixed recent run - two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five - while Kristiansund arrive in worse shape, having lost three of their last five with zero clean sheets in that stretch. Five Rosenborg players are sidelined, but the visitors carry four absentees of their own, softening that concern somewhat. Home advantage and Kristiansund's defensive frailty away from home keep RBK as the logical favourite.
The numbers point firmly toward goals. Kristiansund's last five matches produced over 2.5 goals every single time, and the head-to-head record shows four of the last five meetings between these sides went over 2.5. BTTS landed in four of those five h2h encounters too. The model gives Rosenborg a 42% win probability versus 27% for Kristiansund, and the DNB home price of 1.26 (bet365) reflects a fair edge without the draw risk.
The value call is Rosenborg Draw No Bet at 1.26. It's a modest price but the model's 73% probability of a home win or draw justifies the safety net. For the risk-takers, BTTS YES at 1.62-1.70 is compelling given the evidence on both sides.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.06.25 | Eliteserien | 4–1 | O2.5 |
| 01.05.25 | Eliteserien | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 01.12.24 | Eliteserien | 0–4 | O2.5 |
| 26.05.24 | Eliteserien | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 14.03.24 | Club Friendlies | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service