Spain arrive at this World Cup Final having won all five knockout matches, conceding just once across that run. Their defensive structure has been suffocating - four clean sheets in five games - and they have kept Argentina's level of opponents quiet with minimal fuss. Argentina are equally unbeaten, five wins from five, but they have leaked four goals in the same span and conceded in three of those five matches. The contrast in defensive solidity is the defining angle here.
Spain: 9 goals scored, 1 conceded, 4 clean sheets in 5 matches. Argentina: 13 scored, 4 conceded, only 2 clean sheets. Spain kept a clean sheet in 4 of 5 games; Argentina conceded in 3 of 5. The DNB price for Spain sits at 1.60 (10Bet) - short, but reflective of a side that has not dropped a point or a lead in this tournament. No head-to-head data is available for this fixture.
Spain DNB at 1.60 is the call. The defensive numbers are too lopsided to ignore, and the draw insurance at that price is worth carrying. For the alt, BTTS No at 1.91 aligns with Spain's clean-sheet record and Argentina's vulnerability to being shut out.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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