Sutjeska arrive at this second leg having lost all five of their most recent matches, conceding in every one of them. Kairat, meanwhile, have won all five of their last games, including the first leg 2-1 in Almaty. The aggregate form gap is stark.
The numbers drive the verdict. Kairat scored 17 goals in their last five - 3.4 per game - while Sutjeska managed just 3 across the same sample. Kairat's last five produced over 2.5 goals in all five matches. BTTS landed in 3 of 5 for both sides, and Sutjeska have not kept a single clean sheet in the period.
The model reads this as a one-sided tie. Kairat at 1.67-1.68 (away win) is the cleanest expression of the edge. For a secondary angle, BTTS YES at 1.60-1.67 captures Sutjeska's inability to stay quiet while Kairat keep scoring.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.07.26 | UEFA Champions League | 2–1 | O2.5 |
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