The second leg of this Europa League tie is a formality wrapped in a scoreline. Qarabag won the first leg 3-0 at home, and Vestri - an Icelandic second-division side - arrive in the return fixture with nothing but pride to play for. Vestri's last five games show 2 wins, 2 draws and a 3-0 hammering away to this exact opponent. Qarabag scored in 4 of their last 5, went over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and put three past Vestri without reply a week ago. Vestri scored in just 3 of their last 5 and conceded in 3 of 5 - a side that leaks and struggles to hurt anyone at this level. The market prices Qarabag at 1.06, which tells you everything. I want the bigger swing: Qarabag -2.5 Asian Handicap at 1.72. A side this dominant, already three up on aggregate, will not ease off against Icelandic second-division opposition. Take the handicap.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 09.07.26 | UEFA Europa League | 3–0 | O2.5 |
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