Pronóstico Univ. Craiova vs ML Vitebsk, UEFA Champions League - 15 jul 2026

Craiova arrive at this second leg with a 4-1 win already banked from the away fixture on 8 July. The Romanian side is unbeaten across their last 5 outings (W3 D2), scoring 14 goals in the process, while Vitebsk has conceded in all 5 of their recent matches and kept zero clean sheets.

The numbers are stark. Craiova scored 4 in the first leg; Vitebsk has shipped 11 goals in 5 games and gone over 2.5 in every single one of them. Over 2.5 landed in 3 of Craiova's last 5 and in all 5 of Vitebsk's - a combined over rate that is hard to ignore. The AH -1.5 for Craiova is priced at 2.05, implying roughly a 49% chance of a 2+ goal winning margin.

The model favours Craiova -1.5 AH at 2.05. A side that won by three in the first leg, facing opponents who have not kept a clean sheet in five matches, is well-positioned to cover that line at home.

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